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{
    "url": "https://mailman.amsat.org/hyperkitty/api/list/[email protected]/email/OMAEWPZYVO7XYU7MBRHV2AGCA3UN4UBC/?format=api",
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    "message_id": "004101c841bb$7af7d050$6501a8c0@QUECREEK",
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    "thread": "https://mailman.amsat.org/hyperkitty/api/list/[email protected]/thread/LHHAB63ILZ6R7LMFN36CRGIH3NDHEEDS/?format=api",
    "sender": {
        "address": "wb3jfs (a) cox.net",
        "mailman_id": "bdfc678d05af4f3f96c14d823fd3fbcf",
        "emails": "https://mailman.amsat.org/hyperkitty/api/sender/bdfc678d05af4f3f96c14d823fd3fbcf/emails/?format=api"
    },
    "sender_name": "Jeff Yanko",
    "subject": "[amsat-bb] Re: ANDE ramping down: now almost at 200km",
    "date": "2007-12-18T21:18:05Z",
    "parent": "https://mailman.amsat.org/hyperkitty/api/list/[email protected]/email/N4UACZH7QREDYLD5AYDYQIIMBFE5ITXR/?format=api",
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        "https://mailman.amsat.org/hyperkitty/api/list/[email protected]/email/H5BBZ7IIYEQLVPQGM55MFD5RNIF4VCXK/?format=api",
        "https://mailman.amsat.org/hyperkitty/api/list/[email protected]/email/LJSAMEIGJXY4XTPDT5CGLGLVXAQXUBLX/?format=api"
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    "content": "Hi Henk and all!\n\nStrangely enough, but honestly, I did not look at the graph.  The problem \nwith re-entry predictions is most treat it as a linear decay when in reality \nit's logarithmic.  It compounds itself and progresses as times progresses. \nSorry for not converting miles to KM, but at 100 miles, depending on it's \nmass and surface area, time is running out and fast.  At 90 miles heating is \nincreasing dramatically.  Between 80 to 90 miles, it has re-entered, \ndepending on how \"thick\" the atmosphere is at that time.  Remember, at solar \nmaximum the atmoshere is much thicker due to the increase of the solar \nactivity.  It's quite possible that if we were currently at solar maximum, \nANDE would have been history by now.\n\nNot to brag, boast or claim any superior powers :), I did manage to come in \n2nd place in the Chicken Little contest in predicting the re-entry of the \nsatellite Solar Max.  I also came in 2nd place in predicting the re-entry of \nOscar-9.\n\n73,\n\nJeff  WB3JFS\n\n\n----- Original Message ----- \nFrom: \"Henk, PA3GUO\" <[email protected]>\nTo: <[email protected]>\nSent: Tuesday, December 18, 2007 12:53 PM\nSubject: Re: [amsat-bb] ANDE ramping down: now almost at 200km\n\n\nHi Jeff,\n\nThat's an extreme accurate prediction !\nSure you must have applied a more scientific method as my 'looking at the \ngraph' !\nHow did you do that, or is that a secret until the contest is over :-) ?\n\n73 - Henk, PA3GUO\n\n\n> In the spirit of the previous Chicken Little contests my re-entry \n> prediction  for ANDE is:\n>\n> December 22, 2007  1935z.\n>\n>\n> Jeff  WB3JFS\n>\n>>\n>>>From the graph I expect Dec 24 or so as the last day\n>> (based on the fact that RAFT last day was when it\n>> had reached 175 km).\n>>\n>> Henk, PA3GUO\n\n\n\n\n\n",
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