As I see it, AMSAT has two things that need to be publicized to the ham community:
1. Antennas are small. More and more hams face antenna restrictions and many seem to drop out rather than adapt. A decent LEO V/U antenna doesn't need to be any bigger than a TV yagi. It would be pretty easy to disguise a LEO V/U antenna as a TV yagi. A decent L/S antenna system for a future HEO could be nearly as unobtrusive as a DTV dish.
As I've stated before, my current LEO setup is completely portable. I walk outside, work a pass of AO-7, VO-52, FO-29, or SO-50 with the radios and accessories in a small bag carried around my neck and the Arrow antenna in my hand, and walk back inside when the pass is over. I get a lot of weird looks, but it works, and it's completely antenna-restriction proof.
2. The next two solar cycles are predicted to be pretty bad. That's great for AMSAT! Solar flares and CMEs aren't good for satellites anyway and we don't need sunspots to work through them. 80 and 160 will be pretty good and we should have another MF and LF band soon, but see item 1 about the problem with that!
73,
Paul, N8HM
On Wed, Sep 4, 2013 at 7:33 PM, Bryce Salmi bstguitarist@gmail.com wrote:
I would not say that AMSAT has abandoned HEO. Rather, launch opportunities that exist now are being utilized. Would you rather sit dormant and let all existing birds fail or re-enter while waiting for an HEO opportunity? And AMSAT is just learning to build cubesats. For AMSAT-NA, Fox-1 is a first. If we're going to fly HEO, we had better be good at building a reliable satellite in a cubesat (be it 1, 3, or 6U) format. The first
HEO
launch opportunity is not the time to figure that out! While HEO launch opportunities do not exist now, but that does not mean that AMSAT isn't pursuing them as Drew pointed out, nor that AMSAT would not build an HEO satellite when opportunities do come. In the meantime,
we
are making lemonade and preparing through practice.
I cannot agree with this more. The reality is that LEO launch opportunities exist right now for an affordable price that AMSAT can pay (free to ~$150K) for satellites that are 1U cubesats. Any larger and it becomes much more expensive. AMSAT could potentially pull of a HEO launch if a 3U or so cubesat but I would imagine a decently sized fundraising campaign would be needed to approach that. Anything bigger than cubesats is likely out of the range of an organization such as AMSAT for a while (Unless reusable launch vehicles becomes a reality https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2t15vP1PyoA).
There's a silver lining that people are neglecting (and those of us volunteering for AMSAT should probably do a better job publicizing this...). This silver lining is that without necessity, technology would never move forward. We are now forced to build LEO cubesats if we want to fly anything soon. That's a fact of life. By developing a reliable cubesat that is technology dense with smaller components and systems on a chip and placing it into LEO we obtain a flight heritage and incremental improvements with design. This also gives volunteers/engineers the experience with the satellite design. *There is merit in attempting to pack all the technology that is found on a traditional HEO bird into a small cubesat*. I mean seriously, we have smartphones nowadays that are faster than supercomputers were just several decades ago.
When that HEO opportunity comes up.* A proven LEO satellite with flight heritage will be much more reliable and economical to upgrade for the task*. It is for this reason that the path AMSAT-NA is currently embarking on is a very smart one for the current aerospace industry. Any Fox satellite designed and operated for it's 5+ year mission will give a huge leap of flight heritage to the design, especially in regards to radiation and environmental concerns. A HEO satellite will need to be extremely robust, more so than LEO as it will experience more radiation.
So LEO satellites are fun to most of us but they do offer an extremely limited usable pass,even at best (especially FM). However, there are many subsystems on an FM LEO that would be very similar to a Linear Transponder HEO satellite.* You still need a computer (IHU), you still need a solar converter (MPPT), you still need to support any experiments (cameras, sensors, etc). So, by having a reliable and flight proven LEO family of satellites, you just set yourself up for a HEO mission with limited redesign.*
This also plays into the whole role of launch providers. Just because you can afford a launch doesn't mean you will get it. Let's say AMSAT obtained a ride to GTO on the next Direct TV satellite to launch. Direct TV is the primary payload and any secondary payloads MUST prove that they will not in any way jeapordize the primary payload. If AMSAT was unable to prove that its satellite will not affect the primary payload, AMSAT would likely not get to fly.
Anyways, these are my thoughts on the issue. I'll toy around with the idea of getting some better material for the AMSAT-NA website to explain some of the difficulties AMSAT faces. There really is a need for a better explanation so we can avoid consistently explaining similar responses to similar questions.
Enjoy!
Bryce KB1LQC
On Wed, Sep 4, 2013 at 3:09 PM, n0jy n0jy@n0jy.org wrote:
Hi Michael,
I would not say that AMSAT has abandoned HEO. Rather, launch opportunities that exist now are being utilized. Would you rather sit dormant and let all existing birds fail or re-enter while waiting for an HEO opportunity? And AMSAT is just learning to build cubesats. For AMSAT-NA, Fox-1 is a first. If we're going to fly HEO, we had better be good at building a reliable satellite in a cubesat (be it 1, 3, or 6U) format. The first
HEO
launch opportunity is not the time to figure that out! While HEO launch opportunities do not exist now, but that does not mean that AMSAT isn't pursuing them as Drew pointed out, nor that AMSAT would not build an HEO satellite when opportunities do come. In the meantime,
we
are making lemonade and preparing through practice.
Jerry N0JY
On 9/4/2013 4:25 PM, Michael wrote:
I'm almost fifty one years old and I'm now convinced that we will not
see
another HEO in orbit in my lifetime...if ever. The economic
environment to
do it just doesn't exist anymore. AMSAT has as much as told everyone
that
by abandoning their efforts and concentrating on LEO cubesats. No one
is
going to come out and say that we absolutely will never have one, they
like
to keep that glimmer of hope alive but the writing is on the wall. No
one
wants to be wrong more than I do but I'd bet you P3-E never flies. 73, Michael, W4HIJ
On 9/3/2013 3:32 PM, John Becker wrote:
Anything new on a replacement. Have not see a thing myself.
John
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