I put the parameters from yesterday's TLEs into NASA's DAS software. The mass is listed at 2 kg, so the unknown variable is the cross sectional surface area. It's a 2U cubesat with deployed solar panels. With one estimate, I got 6 days, which is obviously wrong. With another estimate, I got 96 days.
73,
Paul, N8HM
On Fri, Dec 30, 2016 at 14:45 Nico Janssen hamsat@xs4all.nl wrote:
As long as we don't have stable TLEs it is not possible to perform
an analysis to determine the expected lifetime. But my initial
guestimate would be somewhere between 2 and 6 months.
73, Nico
On 30-12-16 19:43, Greg D wrote:
18:20 pass not as strong as prior passes. Only got a few moments of
full-quieting audio. Contacts with W5ACM and KC7M. As before, the
second half of the pass was much better (nothing heard at all until just
before indicated TCA), so perhaps the bird is late compared to the
Keps. Worked it almost into the ground before LOS. I'm using
2016-083C, updated from Celestrak right before the pass. Playing with
polarization seemed to help, but I'm assuming the bird's antennas are
linear, right? Possibly my relays are getting dirty.
One question, for scale... We know that the satellite will not last
"long", given it's crippled orbit. How long? Days? Weeks? Months?
Greg KO6TH
Nico Janssen wrote:
If you are still using yesterday's TLE set, then you will indeed find
that BY70-1 is now about half a minute earlier. The problem is that
the TLEs for this satellite are not stable yet in the first days after
the
launch. The right value for e.g. the decay rate has not yet been
established. So for the time being you need to make sure you use the
most recent TLE set that is available.
By the way, the two SuperView satellites are now using their own
propulsion system to increase their altitude, preventing an early decay.
As BY70-1 does not have any propulsion, it is stuck in its low orbit.
73,
Nico PA0DLO
On 30-12-16 13:42, PY5LF wrote:
Hi
We had a low pass over here minutes ago and i felt the keps BY70-1 are
wrong .
I start to hear 25 seconds before . Does anyone feels the same ?
73
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