Hosting our payload on a commercial GEO satellite would likely cost more than $10 million if the commercial satellite owner is to be fully compensated for the engineering modifications to their satellite and potential loss of transponder revenue from diverting satellite resources to a non-productive payload over a 15 year design lifetime. Offering a tax break will probably not make up this difference. You might have better luck seeking hosting on a government owned satellite such as the Air Force mission that was discussed by AMSAT a few years ago, but eventually fell through. This is where carefully cultivated personal relationships can come in, if you have any such friends in high places. OSCAR-1 got its launch approved back in 1961 because of a few highly placed hams in the Pentagon, so keep up with your networking and maybe it can happen.
Some orbits are inherently unstable, for example 63 degree Molniya orbits will reliably decay in a few years. The Late, Great OSCAR-13 provides a prime example of this. Their orbital lifetime is heavily sensitive to the time of launch, if AO-13 was launched a few hours earlier it would still be up there, a few hours later it would have reentered a couple of years after launch. This is easy to model in GMAT.
As a secondary payload, we don't get to choose the launch time, our only hope would be to use thrusters to make slight post-launch adjustments so the satellite reenters not too early (as AO-13 did) and not too late. I have been trying to figure out how to do this but have not had any results so far. If we have a dedicated launch all to ourselves we can choose a launch time that meets our requirements.
The NASA Cubesat that was recently grounded was aiming for a GTO launch, which has been mentioned as a possible target for an AMSAT mission because we could possibly get one cheap. Analysis of NORAD tracking data shows a lot of spent rocket bodies that have been in GTO for decades, so this might not be the best choice for a mission that needs a guaranteed reentry date.
Another possibility would be to place the satellite directly into the GEO graveyard orbit and let it slowly drift around the Earth. There are plenty of other HEO or Cislunar orbits that are not sensitive to orbital debris requirements and may not be commercially attractive but would work OK for our needs.
So yes, if we had $10 million in our bank account we could buy our way out of a lot of problems that only affect poor people who are lacking options.
73, Dan N8FGV
------ Original Message ------ Received: Fri, 12 Aug 2022 12:28:55 PM EDT From: Paul Andrews w2hro.fn20@gmail.com Subject: [AMSAT-BB] Re: Phase IV satellite
Yes! Find a commercial GEOsat with room to support an amateur payload. Leverage commercial economics for launch and platform reliability. The commercial operator can donate (tax break) the value of the ham (STEM) capability. Maybe ham bands at 10 GHz and above. Simple bent pipe.
------ Original Message ------ Received: Fri, 12 Aug 2022 11:28:21 AM EDT From: "Mark Johns, K0JM" k0jm.mark@gmail.com Subject: Re: [AMSAT-BB] Re: Phase IV satellite
The launch costs, while significant, are beside the point. The biggest issue with HEO satellites are the regulatory challenges. AMSAT and international partners could build and get ready for launch such a satellite within a few years, just as they did with AO-10, AO-13, and AO-40. But they would not get a license to put it into orbit in the current regulatory environment. The technical and financial challenges can be met, but the licensing requirements are killing us.