All,
Our busy satellite reentered sometime early on 4 January, 2012. The last telemetry was received at 06:02:14 UTC with the temperatures showing very high:
http://www.arissattlm.org/live
It was not expected that Space Command would do a TIP, but they did, so we have relatively good information on where it ended. Note the impact window is still 6 hours, but that the telemetry report narrows that to about 4.
Report Date/Time 2012-01-04 04:28:00 GMT Predicted Decay Time 2012-01-04 07:00:00 GMT +/- 3 Hours Predicted Decay Location 12.7° S, 354.3° E Direction ascending Inclination 51.6° Revolution Number 2411 High Interest Object N Final Report
The predicted impact point is an open part of the South Atlantic, well west of Angola.
If you heard the satellite, even briefly, after 0600 UTC, or you did not hear it after that date and you have been regularly hearing it, please let me know. This will help confirm the actual impact point.
For those who have been involved with telemetry collection, and the Chicken Little Contest, please give us a couple of days to get things together before we make formal announcements. Thank your all for your efforts!
Alan WA4SCA